National Population Projections: 2024(base)-2078
Stats NZ
Official data
Official primary
August 2026
Next review not yet scheduled
New Zealand
High confidence
published
SNZ editorial review
Evidence boundary: This record summarises the cited source. It does not establish local availability, individual eligibility, or professional advice.
Short Answer
Stats NZ's 2024-base national projections establish the demographic case for PiP.
Key Points
- •873,900 New Zealanders were aged 65+ in 2024 in the median projection series.
- •The 65+ population is projected to reach 932,200 in 2026 and 1,023,100 in 2029.
- •The 65+ population reaches 1,332,400 by 2043 in the median series.
- •The 85+ cohort rises from 95,000 in 2024 to 275,000-322,000 by 2051.
- •By the 2050s, about one in five people aged 65+ will be 85+, compared with one in nine in 2024.
Full Summary & Notes
Stats NZ's 2024-base national projections establish the demographic case for PiP. The median series records 873,900 people aged 65+ in 2024, 932,200 in 2026, 1,023,100 in 2029 and 1,332,400 by 2043. The 85+ cohort rises from 95,000 in 2024 to between 275,000 and 322,000 by 2051, roughly tripling the group most likely to use aged-care and ageing-in-place support.
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Document Details & Metadata
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